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The easiest way to do this is to calculate the mean of all goals scored and conceded in a season. It becomes apparent that in analysing a game between two top teams one has to prioritise the matches of similar competitors at the top of the leaderboard.

xGscore prediction model assesses the significance of each match played in calculating expected goals. Here are the main factors considered by our algorithm:.

Next, the model adds up data from all matches and produces scored and conceded goals for both home and away teams. By combining the scores of both teams, we get the expected game score.

Half of the work is done. Now, the game score prediction needs to be converted into the most profitable bet. These bets are called value bets. The probability of value bets to happen is always higher than bookmaker's chance included in coefficient, which makes it one of the best football betting strategies.

This means that we need to evaluate the probability of each match outcome: home and away teams win, draw, totals, handicaps, etc. To do this we turn to another mathematical function, the Poisson distribution.

The Poisson distribution probability calculator is available for our users on a separate page , where you can learn more about it and try it out. Each bet offered by our system is additionally reviewed by an expert from our team and only after that we publish the final match betting tips.

The main intent behind xGscore development was to create an all-encompassing resource that would contain all the information needed for an accurate match prediction and for determining the most profitable football tips. In the near future, we are planning to increase the number of leagues we make free football predictions for, expand the necessary functionality for match analysis to include player injuries and suspensions, ROI stats etc.

We need your help to speed up the development process. Please share a link to this resource with those who might be interested in it, and subscribe to our Patreon. Calculate probabilities of outcomes based on pre-match expected score. Check if there is arbitrage opportunity to guarantee your profit.

Upcoming Predictions Today Tomorrow Week. Today March 2 Odds Odds. Featured Tips. Both to Score. Correct Score. Football and Soccer Predictions from xGscore xGscore is a modern platform for football match analysis.

How do we give our predictions? Which matches are covered? The full list of leagues is as follows: Champions League Europa League Premier League England La Liga Spain Serie A Italy Bundesliga Germany Ligue 1 France Primeira Liga Portugal Eredivisie Netherlands Serie A Brazil Major Soccer League USA World Cup Euro And this is just the beginning.

Mathematical Football Predictions Our primary task while creating soccer predictions is to calculate the expected game score, hence the name of our site is xGscore Expected goals score. Value Bet in Football Betting Half of the work is done. The Main Goal of Our Service The main intent behind xGscore development was to create an all-encompassing resource that would contain all the information needed for an accurate match prediction and for determining the most profitable football tips.

Betting tools Poisson calculator. Margin calculator. Reveal real bookmaker's probabilities and fair coefficients. The developer provided this information and may update it over time. No data shared with third parties Learn more about how developers declare sharing.

No data collected Learn more about how developers declare collection. watch Watch. laptop Chromebook. tv TV. well I'm glad to associate with the app but the price is too high though it serves. Dont beleive there predictions Not recommended premium subscription less than 50 percent accuracy purchased yesterday lost all amount.

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